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This is simply a part of my ongoing, long-term position building for Relay Therapeutics.
My long-term goal is to build a position of 10,000 shares or more before the business begins to ramp commercially. I have now purchased 1,894 shares (19% of goal) since Finch Trades started in April 2024. My cost basis for Relay Therapeutics Finch Trades is $5.40 per share or a market valuation of $901.8 million based on the current number of shares outstanding.
Importantly, investors can expect an important data readout next month. The preliminary phase 1 data readout for the first RLY-2608 triplet combination with a hormone degrader (fulvestrant = current standard of care) and CDK inhibitor (ribociclib / Kisqali = current generation CDK inhibitor) is likely to be announced at the San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium 2024 in December 10-13.
This will be an important first test to see if RLY-2608's tolerability advantage allows better performance when paired with a CDK inhibitor. That's especially true now that Roche has earned FDA approval for Itovebi (inavolisib) as a triplet combination with fulvestrant and a current-generation CDK inhibitor, which Roche management believes has peak annual sales potential of $2.3 billion. Relay Therapeutics is poised to best the performance of Itovebi with the initial triplet combination, but is also eager to swap in next-generation hormone degraders and CDK inhibitors.
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The Trade
Relay Therapeutics is considered a Growth (Quality) position. I purchased 562.43 shares at $4.45 per share on December 3, 2024.
Margin of Safety & Allocation
Relay Therapeutics is considered a Growth (Quality) position. The current modeled fair valuation for the company based on our 2024 model is below:
- Market close December 2, 2024: $4.67 per share
- Modeled Fair Valuation: $17.99 per share
- Allocation Range: Up to 15%
Relay Therapeutics reported 167.383 million shares outstanding as of November 1, 2024. The modeled fair valuation above assumes 175.752 million shares outstanding, which is equivalent to 5% dilution.